To ask for your predictions for the timing of the next General Election

Can we have a sweepstake? I think May 2023.

One prediction is that Liz Truss winning might mean a lead in the polls for the Tories, so they would want an election before Christmas. That would mean they avoid the worst of the winter weather and improve their chances.

Sorry, I missed the second part of your question. I think it will be further scandal around the cabinet or their handling of a previous event that will clinch the next election, Liz Truss has no sense at all and she will support something untenable. My prediction is it will be a Labour minority government next time.

Casdon

Sorry, I missed the second part of your question. I think it will be further scandal around the cabinet or their handling of a previous event that will clinch the next election, Liz Truss has no sense at all and she will support something untenable. My prediction is it will be a Labour minority government next time.

This was my feeling too. She’s mis-spoken a few times - most notably by seemingly encouraging people to go and fight in Ukraine and receiving a rebuke from Admiral Sir Tony Radakin, along with a timely reminder that such acts are illegal. I think it’s only a matter of time before something crops up that she’ll make a hash of, and I think we can only hope that come a GE, people have long memories and put the Tories into well deserved long term opposition.

Johnson apparently supports Truss, because he thinks she will implode the lot within a year, and he can come storming back as leader.?

They won't rush towards a GE, because they know things are going to get worse, and they will be hammered at the ballot box.

If they can, they will hang on until 2024.

But, events can overtake.?

I think the Tories will hang on until 2024 hoping that things will start to turn round (then they can take the credit for it).

I do think they're on a hiding to nothing, though, if they make a total hash of the next 18 months or so.

Casdon

Can we have a sweepstake? I think May 2023.

Oh, Snap!!

The Tories will hang on until 2024 unless they can pull a rabbit out of the hat to raise their popularity before then.
We've got time to set up a Granny party before then to stand against them!!!

I think Truss will become PM. She will continue to say and do damaging things (as she did about Macron) and the financial situation will worsen and worsen. A general election in the spring and Labour will win. (please God).

Britain Elects
@BritainElects
Westminster voting intention [ft. new pollster]:

LAB: 40%
CON: 26%
LDEM: 11%
GRN: 6%
REF: 5%

via @PeoplePolling
, 22 Aug

A hung Parliament?

RichmondPark1

I think Truss will become PM. She will continue to say and do damaging things (as she did about Macron) and the financial situation will worsen and worsen. A general election in the spring and Labour will win. (please God).

Britain Elects
@BritainElects
Westminster voting intention [ft. new pollster]:

LAB: 40%
CON: 26%
LDEM: 11%
GRN: 6%
REF: 5%

via @PeoplePolling
, 22 Aug

Those poll figures show clearly that if Labour agrees to clever and cooperative alliances, Tories will be destroyed for a long time. You can but hope.

Swerving slightly, Truss has just pulled out of a one-to-one interview with Nick Robinson saying "she no longer had the time"

I also think late May 2023, I dread to think what state we will be in by then.

I have no faith in Truss but I think she'll win .... and I agree with those who predict a GE in 2024 and by then the country will be desperate enough to vote for anyone ... but a Tory.

They've made a hash of it over the last 4 or 5 years IMO.

Ilovecheese

One prediction is that Liz Truss winning might mean a lead in the polls for the Tories, so they would want an election before Christmas. That would mean they avoid the worst of the winter weather and improve their chances.

You are joking, right?

Terrible thought I know Fleurpepper but that's what I read.

I am not staying on this thread but just want to post my opinion -
I Am Completely Disinterested.
I’m leaving now.

You are welcome- just ignore, and no need for an announcement!

How anyone can NOT care, when our country is facing such massive crises which will impact all our lives, and the most vulnerable the most- is beyond me, but 'whatever'!

I’ve come back on today to clarity …..
It’s not that I don’t care,
I only see a Government who want a better Britain for them and not necessarily us.
That is why I’ve become disillusioned.
We don’t get to choose the next Party Leader after BJ , nor the date of the next GE.
I hope the GE is sooner than later.

Clarify,

6th September

If she had the Will, the queen has the Power to dissolve parliament and so force a GE- it seems clear that the govt is acting against the majority wishes of the nation and I think that is the constitutional criterion.
Won't happen of course so I think the tories will stagger on till 2024.

Whitewavemark2

6th September

Is that 6th September 2022? ?

I think that people are desperately afraid already. And there are increasing numbers of strikes planned for the autumn. The government is losing control and consent. I don't think that there would be any advantage to the tories in a pre Christmas election so they'll hang on.

I predict next spring.

Liz Truss does not have the support of the majority of Tory MPs so either a vote of no confidence or a GE, probably spring w023 when we have been through the a hard winter with strikes and cost of living.