MaizieD
Is Labour the favourite to beat Kemi, growstuff?.
(Yes, I know it's a very long shot)
Hmmm! Interesting question! Yes, that's what the tactical voting sites have been claiming, although the local LibDems have been denying it. The LDs were second in 2019. Locally, the LD party has collapsed. The former "core" of activists got older and haven't really been replaced. Local LibDem members weren't called on to canvas in the constituency, but were asked to concentrate on South Cambridgeshire, which they have a chance of winning. The only placards I've seen in this constituency have been Labour. I'm a bit cross that Labour and the LibDems couldn't come to some kind of agreement.
Kemi is very unpopular locally because she's never here and is seen as being more interested in herself and personal ambitions. She lied about moving here from South London, doesn't hold local surgeries and fobs off most requests for any help. She really has no idea about local issues. Nevertheless, it's a hard core Conservative area and I suspect she will win, but I think it will be with a considerably reduced majority. The Reform candidate was one who was forced to withdraw, so the right wing vote won't be split (as I'd hoped). She's so arrogant that she won't admit that people don't like her, but will blame the national situation.