Thanks DAR.
I see Farage an an attention-seeking agitator, someone who likes to be controversial for the sake of it, not someone who could ever buckle down to the hard daily graft of being PM especially the international diplomatic role. He can’t even buckle down to the hard graft of being a constituency MP. His arrogance prevents him from doing so.
The recent media coverage of his behavour when at school shows who he was then and who he is now. A deeply unpleasant troublemaker.
Nor does he have the broad political knowledge or interest in the wide range of issues that a PM needs to have. Immigration, immigration, immigration isn’t going to cut it. Over a year and half in Parliament and his contribution has been minimal.
He’s happiest in front of a camera whether it’s a tent rally, self-promoting press conferences, after dinner speeches to extremists, GB News, making childish videos for Cameo or flogging gold bullion. He’d have to give all that up and get down to some serious hard graft managing a cabinet of ministers with little or no experience. The only person he now has on board with any experience of real government is Jenrick whose own career to date isn’t exactly bathed in glory.
He’d be head of an absolute shambles. A new government has to hit the ground running. Whatever anyone thinks of Labour, they began with a team of people with considerable shadow experience.
The next GE has to be held by 15 August 2029. The latest that any parliament can be dissolved is “the beginning of the day that is the fifth anniversary of the day on which it first met”, with the election to be held 25 working days after that. It first met on 9 July 2024. Would we have an August election? I doubt it. I may be wrong but I think the last time there was an August election was in the 19C so lets assume the next one is in July 2029. It leaves very little time for ministers who do have shadow experience to get into gear before summer recess and conference season and before the Autumn Statement needs to be delivered, let alone a bunch of greenhorns obsessed with immigration.
I’m betting that he will be long gone by then and that Reform, which is built solely on the cult of his unpleasant personality will collapse - if not sooner through in-fighting or an attempted coup from Jenrick.