NotSpaghetti
I am loving all these links... but must get back to work...
Maybe the link obsessed like me need a "links only" thread where all the discussion is via academic papers! ??
Maybe ~lol~. I'm just wary of claims by Hancock and others that something "may" be true. It would be great news if the AZ/Oxford vaccine makes the virus less transmissible, but it hasn't been proved.
Not only that, but the claims I've seen are that the virus becomes 67% less transmissible. That doesn't make it "highly unlikely" that people can infect others.
If it's true, it means that the number of cases will reduce, which is good from a public health perspective because hospital admissions should go down.
However, from an individual point of view, it's not that helpful. It means that if a person happens to be in contact with somebody who is infected and has been vaccinated, the second person still has a one in three chance of being infected. I wouldn't want to play Russian roulette with those odds.
I think it is important that the public knows what the real situation is because it affects how soon people can start dropping their guard. If people get it into their heads that they are "safe" if vaccinated, it's not true. We're going to have to continue with safety measures for some time to come. That's why I'm always puzzled when people talk about vaccination certificates as a condition of travel.
Much of the country is still showing that at least one in fifty people are currently infected. It's possibly higher than that because some people don't go for tests. Even if all those people were vaccinated (and that won't happen until the autumn) and it is true that only one in three can pass on infection, that still means that one in 150 people can infect others. That really matters in places where people have to be in close contact, such as schools, university halls of residence, shopping centres, stations and airports, etc.