Lathyrus3
Well I suppose it was all the children in English state schools at the end of KS2.
Methodology questionable I give you.
Indeed, the results apply only to children in English schools. Scotland and Wales do different assessments. They are not necessarily the same as English SATs.
To assess the validity of the English SATs results you have to look at the criteria for marking the assessments. The 'scoring' of the results has changed since I retired, I'm only familiar with the criteria for the old English Levels. I cannot tell if the new criteria are similar or more rigorous. All I can say is that I worked with KS3 children from Y7 who had achieved the old Level 3, or below, at the end of KS2. As I recall Level 3 was supposed to show that children had achieved basic functional literacy though not at the level expected for children of their age, which was Level 4. In my opinion none of the L3 children had achieved a level of functional literacy which would enable them to access the KS3 curriculum. Their reading ages on a standardised test was never higher than 9 and they struggled with anything beyond simple one syllable words.
There were never fewer than 30% of Y7s who were L3 or below.
This was before the new English curriculum, which mandated phonics for the initial teaching of reading, was introduced in, IIRC, 2012. Children who entered school in 2012 would be the first cohort which was (supposedly) taught by this curriculum so the expectation was that no effect of the new curriculum on SATs results could be seen until 2018 when these children were in Y6. It is difficult to assess this because in 2018 the reporting system was changed from 'levels' to 'scores' . Comparing results after 2018 with previous 'level based results is problematic for me because I don't know if the assessment criteria changed as well in 2018.
Having said that, not only has the reporting system changed but children will have been affected by the breaks in schooling caused by covid lockdowns. While I know that teachers did their best to adopt to teaching remotely, with the best will in the world this was not conducive to the effective teaching of phonics which, in the early stages calls for daily structured sessions and teacher support over the rest of the day's lessons. Additionally, children who might be identified as slower to learn didn't have the extra support they would have had if they were in school.
All in all, I think that the 2025 SATs results which Lathryus reports are pretty good given the circumstances. The children who sat them were in Y3 at the time of covid (my DGS was one of them) and didn't have the support they would normally have had.
I wouldn't expect the real effect of the 2012 curriculum changes to be shown until 2027/28 when the first cohort to enter school in reception post covid take their SATs.
If you think that effects should have been apparent by 2018 you might not appreciate that there was strong resistance to the mandating of phonics, as teachers found it hard to relinquish the 'mixed methods' in which they had been trained, so the quality of the phonics teaching was very variable. There has been a lot of work done on retraining and assessment of suitable programmes done over the past decade.
I doubt if many of you have heard of the Reading Wars. The disagreement over the teaching of reading which raged in English speaking countries from about the 1950s (believe it or not!) the was truly like a war and very hard fought. Not only teachers but academics wading in from both sides. I hear its echoes in this thread 